The day after – Thank you, Scotland!

Scotland said No, and this is a democratic decision, that’s for sure. I believe in democracy, so I believe a No is exactly what Scotland wants and needs in the moment. If it was a Yes, and an extremely narrow Yes on top, it would not have been easy to build up a new nation, with half the nation not being motivated to muck in. After all, things worked for Scotland in the past years, and they will work as well in the coming years, even more so when it gets more powers as promised. But seeing the majority of 55% who said a silent but clear No, it is important to understand and to keep in mind that there are 45% who strive for changes and who have a vision of a different and probably better Scotland. At least 45%.

I say „at least“ as I wondered about the reasons for that clear No. I admit that I expected a different outcome. This does not say anything about my preferences, I always tried to be as objective as a subjective individual can be. But seeing thousands of people on the streets of Scotland just days and even hours before voting, observing what that massive movement kicked off changes, I supposed it would be a Yes, at least in more districts than it was. It was surprising for many people, reactions proved that. Now polls (again polls…) say that younger voters were rather Yes, older voters were rather No. I suppose it was about fear then foremost. Fear of pension cuts, fear of raising prices, fear of the urge to introduce an own currency, fear of tax reformations hitting richer people and business companies even maybe.

But is was also fear of the separation as such, I guess, as nationalist movements are seen with fears bearing in mind what history thaught us on nationalism. I think, it’s good to be aware of risks, but nationalism isn’t a bad thing by its original nature. In a world which happily grows together due to the cybernet and affordable travelling opportunities, it is quite a hard challenge to find one’s own identity. Advertisements, media, instagramm picture crazes, facebook, being connected with pretty much everyone, all this adds to how confusing it is anyway to find answers to questions like: Who am I? What do I want? What is the sense of my life? Living in a nation where we feel at home, where we feel being understood and backed, is a good help for conquerring in that challenge.

A last word on indyref: In my opinion it is not okay that most German media concentrated on cheering No-voter-parties and what politicians said afterwards, that’s just one half of the truth. 55% celebrated a victory and breathed a sigh of relief as they are allowed to stay in the union, true. But that’s barely more than one half. The other half cried, was desperate, disappointed, suffered a snub, fell into a speechless silence. For a while, anyway, because quite quickly a new movement calling themselves the45 began to form. And I am sure these people will do what I predicted and fight in a (hopefully!) peaceful way for what they want for and from Scotland.

I cannot announce any news here in my last blog entry. Everyone knows by now that Scotland’s First Minister Alex Salmond will step down, and everyone knows that it will be a new struggle to get of Devo Max what was promised. But that’s not a topic for this blog any more, this one was about the long way to the Scottish Independence Referendum. So I bow out with a big fat

Thank you, Scotland!

It was an honour for me that I could be part in one way or another of one of the most interesting and most democratic decisions I have ever seen in my life. Scotland can be proud of an overwhelmingly huge turnout of almost 85%. This isn’t usual, but it is fantastic and the best reason for congratulations. I hope for Scotland that this immense amount of interest and activity will remain. I’ve learnt a lot while blogging on this topic. I never was a very political person, I admit, but Scotland raised a deep fascination for politics and understanding how it does work, what – partly manipulative – strategies it does use, what impacts the individual citizen can have and so on. Thank you for that as well, Scotland. I’m looking back at almost 400 hours of unpaid work, researching, reading, talking to people and writing, another 400 hours at least travelling and getting a picture (and pictures in the literal sense) and finally a whole night of live tickering so that September 19th ends for me being knackered completely after 42 hours without sleep as I had to carry out my normal job’s duty before and after the indyref night. And I don’t regret a second, nor a single step. It was so important to me to do this, and I am proud that so many people from 33 (!) nations read my entries and followed my blog. Thank you so much everyone.

That is why this is just a wee and not a final Goodbye. I won’t post new entries here as SIR is done. You are able to post comments here though, I won’t close the comments. But I created a new blog and will post there not daily but frequently on pretty much everything which is related to Scotland, its culture, developments, news and society. It is called and linked here

Wee Scotland

I hope to meet you and my regulars again there. Spread the word, please. Tata for now and: Thank you!

With love and sympathy, Maria Pakura

 

PS – some acknowledgements at long last: Thank you Guido for writing interesting blog entries on historical facts, thank you Barbarella for having been by my side (and on my site) in the indyref night the whole night and sharing this exceptional experience, thank you person-who-certainly-don’t-want-to-read-your-name-here for explaining so many things to me and helping me to understand the details, thank you Christopher for much input, many retweets and the most gorgeous entry for my creativity competition (you’re the winner!). And a special Thank you goes to my dad who regrettably died in 2012. But he had a crush on Scotland as well where he went with me on his last trip, plus he always encouraged me to do what I really believe in, so I’m sure he would be proud of this blog as well.

Schottland hat NEIN gesagt

Wenngleich die endgültigen Ergebnisse noch ausstehen – ausgezählt waren bei meinem letzten Blick auf die Tabellen 28 von 32 Wahlkreisen in Schottland – ist die Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass Ja noch genügend Stimmen bekommt, um in Führung zu gehen, verschwindend gering. Also hat Schottland NEIN gesagt – zuletzt mit etwa 55 Prozent, das kann sich aber noch leicht ändern. Ich gratuliere allen, die für Nein gestimmt haben, zu ihrer Entscheidung für die Union und zu dieser eindeutigen Führung. Nichtsdestotrotz haben aber eben auch rund 45 Prozent für Ja gestimmt und wollen auch jetzt, wenn ihr Land in der Union Großbritannien verbleibt, Veränderungen und mehr Selbstbestimmung. Es ist allen zu wünschen, dass gemeinsam zumindest Teilziele erreicht werden können. Allen, die für Ja gestimmt haben, möchte ich aber auch gratulieren, nämlich zu ihrem Mut und ihrem Durchhaltevermögen und den festen Glauben, etwas verändern zu können. Das ist eine gute Basis, um weiterzuarbeiten. Ich melde mich heute Abend mit Analyse und Fazit zurück. Details zur Nacht und zur Katerstimmung jetzt am Morgen finden Sie in meinem Live-Ticker.

Maria Pakura

+++ Scotland’s voting +++ Live Ticker +++ Now closed +++

6.00 am: The final results are pending, but it’s very unlikely that Yes could still win, so I think it’s true when I say that Scotland said No. This was a democratic decision with a turnout of  around 85 %, so the majority – latest total after 28 of 32 counts says 55,34% for N0 – wants to stay in the union. But 44.66% want a change and more powers at least, so it’s now up to all British people to find ways to meet Scottish needs in order to really be better together. I will head off here, I was blogging for almost 12 hours now without the slightest break, and as I am doing this voluntarily and unpaid, and I have a normal job where I have to start in less than three hours, I promise to write an analysis on this night and a conclusion of this blog, later tonight. Cheers to all Scottish people. My honest congratulations to all No-voters that you have the clear lead. And chin up to all Yes-voters, you’ve done your best, and it’s the same Scotland you love today as it was yesterday.

5.50 am: The mood is quite heated in Scotland, I’d say. Observing how people accuse each other on social media platforms. It’s frustation, I guess. It would not be different if the outcome was different, just would be different people who got angry.

5.42 am: BBC Scotland News writes that David Cameron has congratulated Alistair Darling on the well-fought campaign. Personally, I am not sure if it was the campaign’s gain or just people’s will. Better Together had made quite some mistakes in my opinion. If it had been motivating, the No lead could possibly have been much stronger.

5.37 am: Now, that people made their decision, it’s about politicians again. Alex Salmond, meanwhile in Edinburgh, has announced a statement for 6.20 am according to Daily Record. He reportedly posted a Saltire and the words „One Scotland“ somewhere, haven’t found it yet, could be just another rumour though.

5.30 am: The BBC site seems to be collapsed, and there are no new results from the remaining 6 of 32, but it’s evident that beyond a miracle No will keep the lead. Many people in Scotland celebrate, others are utterly disappointed and in deepest grief. Bitter comments on social media platforms are frequent now. I think it won’t be that easy to be better together in a joint future.

5.18 am: More reactions, Kenneth McCargow via Twitter: „“Proud Scot“ is now an oxymoron. We should hang our heads in shame.“ Mulder 1981 via Twitter: „45% of Scots support division & nationalism 55% support hope & unity …time to reunite our country“ Danni Paterson via Twitter: „Cheers for trying @AlexSalmond at least we created something, a force for good, a need for change and a hope that will not be squashed.“

5.17 am: Clear reactions online now, Christian Wright via Twitter: „First time a country has committed national suicide in front of a live worldwide audience.“

5.16 am: Funnily the BBC results page says again 24 of 32 now. Has there been a mistake? Or did it collapse?

5.14 am: After 26 of 32 counts it’s 54,28% for No.

5.10 am: I just found a tweet which probably speaks for thousands of people in Scotland in this very moment. User Ailisùn seòras Buc wrote via Twitter: „Hearts are broken all over #Scotland tonight. I can’t fathom this result. Thank you all for fighting with. #scottishindependence will be“

5.04 am: After 24 of 32 counts, No leads with 54,21%, unionists will most probably win the referendum. Scotland wants to stay in the British union.

4.52 am: It’s getting confusing here since there are too many new results. Glasgow voted Yes with 53,49%, that’s important. But it’s an unmistakable No lead. Honestly I don’t think that will change. Scotland’s reply seems to be a clear No. The total outcome after 23 of 32 counts is 54,34% for No.

4.48 am: Perth and Kinross is No with 60,19%.

4.45 am: Glasgow’s results are announced to come soon. Yessers have their hopes in Glasgow.

4.42 am: The total says 56,25% for No after 17 of 32 counts.

4.38 am: Not easy to keep you up-to-date since the results are coming every other minute now. Aberdeen City is No with 58,61%, East Dunbartonshire is No with 61,20%.

4.34 am: East Renfrewshire is No with 63,19%. Total after 15 of 32 counts is now 55,49% for No.

4.31 am: Now Angus with 56,32% for No, Dumfries and Galloway with 65,67% for No and Aberdeen announced to be a No as well.

4.26 am: Again two results at once, it’s Stirling for No (59,77%) and Falkirk for No (53,47%) as well. Total after 12 of 32 counts is 53,18% for No. Gap is getting bigger again.

4.20 am: After 10 of 32 counts the No margin is becoming bigger, in total it’s 52,37%=No and 47,63%=Yes for the time being.

4.19 am: Two more results just came in. It’s East Lothian with 61,72% for No and 38,28 % for Yes and furthermore Midlothian with 56,30% for No and 43,70% for Yes.

4.10 am: The total gap is getting tighter with 50,17% No vs. 49,83% Yes after 8 of 32 counts. A bit more than 410.000 votes are counted now, is maybe about 12 percent of the total votes I’d presume. No winners and no losers in sight so far, it’s an extremely close run.

4.08 am: West Dunbartonshire says Yes with 53,96% and No with 46,04%.

3.58 am: And as I predicted it will be a close run and not easy peasy for eiter side. According to BBC the total outcome after 7 of 32 results is 50,91%=No and 49,09%=Yes. Everything’s still open.

3.54 am: Dundee results saying Yes=57,35 % and No=42,65 %. At the same time Renfrewshire voted 52.81 % for No and 47,19 for Yes.

3.52 am: Things are getting slow somehow, it feels slow anyway. Just read amongst the Welt live coverage that analysts say that richer people voted rather No and poorer Yes. If that’s true, I wonder if there are more richer than poorer people in Scotland.

3.38 am: BBC’s results‘ site says it’s 54,82 % for No and 45,18 % for Yes after 5 of 32 counts. Current total turnout is 86,78 %.

3.36 am: Inverclyde results are 50,08 % for No and 49,92 % for Yes. Knife’s edge for that particular region.

3.25 am: Yessers‘ nerves are on edge from what I read on social media platforms. Many Yes supporters are said to have left streets and parties yet, quite some tweets telling they will turn off their TV set now or asking why people would vote against their own country’s souverainity. Meanwhile the Dundee results are announced to come soon.

3.10 am: Results for Comhairle nan Eilean Siar are there, it’s 53,42 % for No and 46,58 % for Yes. The turnout on the Western Isles (I admit I haven’t known the correct name before as well) is 86,2 % with a total vote of approx. 19.800 persons. I suspect this is the biggest disappointment for Yessers so far as the Western Isles were supposed to have a Yes lead as far as I know.

3.08 am: In my opinion it’s problematic to headline „Shetland makes it three out of three for No campaign“ as The Daily Record did in this article. It’s suggesting a lead which is not factual. Three regions said No, that’s true, no doubt about that. But it’s not three out of three, its three out of 32, and talking of population it’s maybe 2 % (without having counted, just approximately). So, true: It’s a lead for No so far, but not in the meaning of a 100-%-lead. I would explain the same thing if it was a Yes-lead btw. It’s important to keep the relations in view.

2.56 am: After 3 of 32 counts the outcome is 59,17 % No and 40,83 % Yes so far according to BBC.

2.51 am: I have a complaint though. The real time for me, being in Germany, is 3.50 am, and I have to work tomorrow as usual. Who had the bloody idea to vote on a Thursday??

2.46 am: And here come’s the Shetland Islands‘ result with 63,71 % No and 36,29 % Yes. Total votes there nearly 16.000, so again just a small percentage of the total outcome.

2.44 am: For all who are curious how the counting may look like, check out the Mirror’s live stream here.

2.33am: The total turnout has reached 87,09 % so far. It’s obvious that the turnout result will be higher than 80 % in any case. That’s very good, really, says a lot about the fact that Scottish people take democracy very seriously. Whatever the outcome might be, it is a majority decision in the best sense. But I still suspect it will be a close run. I really hope that the „winner“ (although that word is not really appropriate in that context, is it?) won’t forget that there are many, many people who voted for the opposite. There must be ways to find joint agreements in either case.

2.25 am: I may requote Polly Curtis whose tweet was quoted by Scotsman just moments ago: „Only 98.7% of the results to go…“ Nothing is lost, nothing is won so far, too early to speak of a trend even.

2.18 am: As far as I can tell from what I’m seeing the the pic which was posted by BBC’s Andrew Black here, there are further No-leading results to come.

2.14 am: Major tension in Scotland as the next No lead is expected when East Lothian declares its results soon.

2.09 am: Just mentioning, despite a fantastic turnout of 83,7 %, total votes in Orkney Islands are around 15.000, also not what will make the final decision. But the No margin is very explicit. According to BBC, the total result after 2 of 32 counts is now 57,76 % No, 42,24 % Yes.

2.04 am: Now it’s official, the Orkney Islands voted 67,2 % No, 32,8 % Yes. Now that’s a clear result which really is a disappointment for Yessers, I guess.

2.02 am: Orkney results are available as it seems. Lead for No.

2.00 am: BBC’s Fiona Walker just tweeted „Falkirk turnout 88,7%“. Remember, that is the region where rumours claimed that first polling stations had closed earlier this evening due to a 100 % turnout. 88,7 % sounds quite a lot less than 100 %, right?

1.55 am: Whereas Stirling has the highest turnout so far with 90,1 % according to several sources.

1.53 am: BBC’s Aileen Clarke just wrote via Twitter that the turnout in Glasgow is said to be 75 %. That’s the lowest turnout so far, if true. Really surprising to me, as Glasgow seemed to be one of the referendum capitals recently, foremost Yes I would have guessed. Thinking of the crowds in the streets this weekend.

1.46 am: Status quo of total turnout so far is 88,59 % according to BBC.

1.44 am: It’s very sad to watch the media stressing that the first results are a disappointment for separatists. Of course, they are. But as I said earlier, individual results as such don’t tell much. And Clackmannanshire is not big. It was a total of 19.036 counted votes for No so far and 16.350 for Yes. Altogether that’s around 35.000 votes. And nearly 4,29 millions of Scottish people were registered. It’s important to see that when pondering this particular result’s significance.

1.31 am: First official result is from Clackmannanshire. 53,8 % No, 46,2 % Yes. No leading.

1.29 am: Clackmannanshire’s results saying No has a lead according to The Daily Record. No percentages yet, only total numbers. But a new change of the total turnout on BBC results: 85,34 %.

1.27 am: No reliable news on the allegations of fraud in Glasgow. Glasgow has nearly 600.000 inhabitants, so more than 11 % of Scotland’s total population. Knowing that, it’s evident how important the outcome there is – and its validity.

1.21 am: Total turnout according to BBC is 87,05 % so far.

1.17 am: Experts expect the results from Clackmannanshire first. Especially as according to Britain Elects the counting in Orkney must be repeated due to „a one vote discrepancy“.

1.12 am: Turnout results are now dropping in. Until now, not one turnout is below 75 %, many are higher than 80 %.

1.09 am: Total turnout (not complete, of course) on BBC results‘ page was changed into 87,42 %.

1.07 am: Several sources say that the turnout of Dundee City is 78,8 %.

00.59 am: The Glasgow allegations are obviously not about the ballot papers. Craig Fowler via Scotsman wrote some minutes ago: „More on the allegations of electoral fraud in Glasgow: apparently some people turned up to vote but were told that someone already had in their name.“ What I don’t understand: If that’s the problem, how could this happen? As Electoral Commission explained, all ballot papers are numbered for exactly that reason, to aviod possible fraud.

00.54 am: Turnout result on BBC results‘ page changed: It’s 87,27 % now.

00.49 am: Now it’s everywhere and it is not false alarm obviously. Pics appeared showing a table of No votes, but there is at least one Yes box ticked as far as it’s visible. It could turn to a disaster if manipulation allegations shaped up as being true. What might happen? Honestly, I have no idea.

00.41 am: Craig Fowler via Scotsman’s live coverage (linked below): „Police have asked counters in Glasgow to remove some ballot papers after allegations of electoral fraud.“

00.33 am: Edinburgh Council just tweeted the official turnouts for Orkney – 83,7 % – and Clackmannanshire – 88,6 %. Sounds reliable. Great turnout.

00.25 am: First number appears on BBC’s result page: The turnout is said to be 87,09 % for the time being. I don’t think that’s definite, but it backs my forecast that it will be 85 %. If it will remain in that magnitude, the turnout is exceptional.

00.22 am: I’m not getting tired of repeating that it’s impossible to foretell the outcome. But I can tell you what my instinct tells me after I had observed the going ons in Scotland extensively for many weeks. I sensed a mood swing since early spring this year to Yes‘ favour, and I am neither a politic’s nor an economic’s expert, but despite polls and prophecies of doom I’d guess it will be a Yes. Just my gut feeling.

00.16 am: If I recall that correctly, there were different outcomes in different regions in the two devolution referendums 1979 and 1997 as well. Orkney Islands and Dumfries and Galloway said No in 1997 as far as I remember, all other regions said Yes. So it’s not the final result what individual results might tell, keep that in mind. Because there should be first results soon.

00.08 am: Latest rumours (just rumours!) from North Lanackshire saying the outcome of postal voting was 60 % No. I’ve asked where these rumours might come from, and user Mulder1981 replied via Twitter: „Agents with Floor Count tickets at a guess, or media with viewing gallery access at a guess“

00.02 am: It’s September 19th, referendum day is over, no results yet but Scotland has decided. Since none of my pals are at home seemingly, no news are arriving on let’s say private ways, I suspect that most Scottish people are joining their people to wait for the outcome. Pubs and streets must be overcrowded, and from what I observe on social media platforms that’s most likely true.

11.59 pm: Just a random thought – I think it’s funny that journalists stare at journalists‘ live coverages and pollsters‘ statements and ordinary people’s tweets and the like as nobody, not one person around the world can tell what exactly will come through during the coming few hours. Counting is under way, and not even the counters can tell more for the time being. Even if they count 100 votes for No first, there could follow 200 for Yes afterwards or the other way round. It’s a game with an unkown outcome. That is.

11.51 pm: Just some minutes till midnight, and according to BBC the first results are expected after midnight. But individual results won’t tell too much about the total outcome as there will most probably be major differences between regions.

11.48 pm: Very interesting statement by Craig Fowler via Scotsman’s live coverage: „The world record for voter turnout belongs to Uruguay who managed 96.1% in 2009. Scotland, as it stands, have a chance at beating it! Regardless of result, that’s something to be really proud of.“ I agree. Scotland, you can be proud of your people being so active and using their chance to democratically decide. All of them.

11.39 pm: Glasgow City Council via Twitter: „All 483 ballot boxes from Glasgow polling stations have all arrived at The Emirates arena for #indyref“ So the counting in Scotland’s biggest city is on the go as it were. When I think of German elections, we have results quite quickly as soon as counting begins. But admittedly I have no idea of the precise procedure in Scotland.

11.32 pm: Evening News via Twitter: „Hearing the turnout in Edinburgh is a huge 89.6%“ OMG, this is much. Almost 90 % of eligibles did vote in Scotland’s capital. Can you remember such a turnout during your lifetime? I cannot. EDIT: Just read it’s the postal turnout. Still much.

11.24 pm: That’s totally off topic, but I have to fetch a cooling pillows for my laptop as it’s running hot in the literal sense. And an espresso for me as I feel like fainting. Very private entry, but I just had to say this.

11.22 pm: Impressive attitude expressed by Colm Gallagher via Twitter: „At 10pm I’ll take down each and every Sticker, Flag and Banner. Tomorrow is not Yes or No, it’s Scottish Unity. Who’s with me?“ If all people in Scotland are reasonable and mature in that way, there won’t be no chaos and no problems tomorrow, no matter what the outcome might be.

11.17 pm: And again David Maddox via Twitter and via Scotsman: „No winning 2/1 on Edinburgh postal votes according to observers“

11.13 pm: David Maddox via Twitter and via Scotsman’s live coverage: „North Lanarkshire Clackmannanshire and Glasgow postal votes more than 60% No“

11.08 pm: What I – despite the distance – can tell for sure is that counting in Edinburgh is in full swing. Edinburgh Council just tweeted: „Vans are now queuing up to drop ballot boxes off for the Edinburgh #indyref count“

11.05 pm: It’s September 19th in Germany now and referendum day September 18th is slowly fading in Scotland as well. The latest YouGov poll foretold 54 % for No. Hard to believe after all those pics and comments of Yessers we saw today/yesterday.

10.54 pm: Edinburgh Council just tweeted: „The first ballot boxes have arrived for the Edinburgh count“

10.51 pm: Call me pathetic but I just lit a candle for all (all as in: no matter if Yes or No) people in Scotland. I can imagine the coming hours are going to be the biggest challenge for their patience ever. As far as I got to know, referendum day was peaceful. I hope the night will be peaceful as well. Scotland has decided, the world is now waiting for the results.

10.47 pm: This is BBC’s results page, and what we currently see is that the counting is „under way“ but 0 f 32 counts are done. Admittedly I’m not sure if many Scottish people will check out this particular page after BBC was accused to be biased recently by Yessers foremost.

10.36 pm: Surprising but true, there are some Scots who voted in advance and who are in Germany on referendum day. Valerie Gauld just addressed me via Twitter telling: „We are in Berlin today. Voted yes by post.“

10.31 pm: Steve McKee just addressed me via Twitter telling (originally in German, yes): „Dankeschön an unsere deutschen Freunde . Ihre Unterstützung war grandios. Hoffnung über die Angst. Abstimmung JA“ Not sure how we Germans backed indyref, but I think many people in Germany who were and are interested in the topic took care in seeing indyref from a neutral point of view, trying to understand Yes arguments and No arguments in equal measure. I did, after all, I can only be my own advocate as it were. I have understanding for both sides.

10.26 pm: Now it’s about waiting. There won’t happen much until the results will come. What are you currently doing, wherever you are? Tell us via Hinterlasse einen Kommentar above or e-mail me to sir2014@hushmail.com (I will quote you, if I may).

10.19 pm: On the current mood in Scotland, Christopher Donohue who lives in Beith, is a Yes-voter (and a regular reader of my blog btw) just told me via Twitter: „YES by a long way. Scotland has awoken. I’ve cried several times today, I’m exhausted!“

10.15 pm: Again quoting BBC (linked below): „There will not be a result in Highland or a result in Perth, only totals for those areas. The national result is the aggregate of 32 local totals.“

10.10 pm: The counting should begin right now. According to this BBC Scotland article, there are „32 counts across Scotland“.

10 pm: It’s done. Voting on Scottish Independence Referendum is over. Polling stations are closing now, all of them. Electoral Comission says though: „If you arrive before 10pm and are still waiting to vote, you will be able to cast your ballot.“

9.55 pm: 5 minutes left. But stay in queue if you are still waiting to vote. Electoral Commission’s statement further below.

9.48 pm: From what I read, there must a Inverness-bound train be stuck in Perth. What happens to possible voters in that train? Is it bad luck for them and they cannot vote? Only 12 minutes left anyway…

9.38 pm: This might be a reason why there are less tweets and comments and forum entries now. As far as I got to know, Scotland’s streets are filling with people. In the bigger cities anyway.

9.30 pm: Just 30 more minutes left. And the social media platforms are getting weirdly silent. Either people are turning off their computers now and running to the polling stations before it’s too late. Or it’s all said? I’ve seen 30-50 tweets a minute one hour ago, now it’s 5-10 tweets. What’s happening in Scotland?

9.22 pm: It is going to be a long night for all of us. I couldn’t prove that right so far since the maps show clouds and moderate temperatures, but wind is said to be a possible reason why ferries from the islands could have delays this night – and the results with them.

9.14 pm: I’ve had a wee peek on most live coverage sites by now, I’d say. I have a clear favourite: the Scotsman.

9.11 pm: If it wasn’t a case of an enormous relevance, it could be almost funny how supporters of both sides claim that their side has the best chances. Noers are foretelling a victory, Yessers as well. Where’s the truth? We won’t know it until the early morning of September 19th.

9.07 pm: From what I read, people in Scotland get more and more nervous now that it’s less than an hour until polling stations will be closed. Plus I sense a kind of unsettledness because of frequent rumours on social media, it’s hard to tell truth from untruth. I think the statement of user I VOTED NO via Twitter tells a lot about the mood: „I cannot even describe the feeling in my stomach just now with nerves, anxiety, excitement, restlessness etc etc. it’s getting a bit much“

9.00 pm: One hour left for all who want to cast the ballot. And several media, Scotsman (linked below) amongst others, stress that there could be delays concerning the results, caused by the weather. Admittedly I have no idea what’s the weather but I will try to find out.

8.57 pm: Seemingly I was rather careful with my foretelling of a turnout around 85 % earlier despite the fact the rumours on social media were talking of 100 % in some regions. But German Welt just wrote that a turnout of more than 90 % is expected.

8.53 pm: I should say that I am a journalist, yes, but this is my own private blog. I have no access to press agencies and their news from home. I am not sitting in a huge busy newsroom now, I am home alone watching what’s happening on quite some channels: the live coverage of several British and German papers and broadcasters, plus facebook, twitter, chats, forums. I am in Germany, not in Scotland, so I can only tell what I hear and read. Be patient, I have no crystal ball. 🙂

8.49 pm: It’s a bit more than 20 minutes that I had a look at Scotsman’s own poll, now it’s saying 71 % Yes, 29 % No. But I have to stress that: Having observed social media for months, I am aware of the fact that Yessers are more active on the cybernet, whatever might be the reason. The trend of this particular poll can be a tribute to that fact. If more Yessers vote online – which as no effect at all on the referendum’s outcome! – it’s only logical that Yes has a better momentum. This is not a forecast of the referendum’s result!

8.38 pm: I cannot tell how reliable it is, but there’s a map of Europe going round showing user activities on the Scottish Independence Referendum voting which continues for 1 hour and 22 minutes from now on. Illustrates a huge interest even from outside UK – if it’s authentic.

8.25 pm: Scotsman’s Patrick McPartlin confirms with his recent post on the Scotsman’s indyref live coverage what I said earlier: „Polling stations are *not* closed, despite Twitter rumours. Specifically with reference to the ones in Falkirk. Behave yirsels, we’ve a long night ahead of us.“ I’m relieved though that I obviously was not the only person on earth who was taken in by the tweets. Apologies for the confusion.

8.20 pm: The Scotsman has an own poll which is surely just a trend – but shows an unmistakable lead so far: In this very minute it’s 69 % for Yes and 31 % for No.

8.13 pm: It’s off topic but interesting to read anyway when Daily Record writes on the babies who were born in Scotland on referendum day.

8.10 pm: Alex Salmond via Twitter: „Wonderful to meet this lovely lady at the polls who said, „I’ve been waiting all my life for this!““ User Dawn replied via Twitter: „My 93 yr old granny passed away this morning. Last thing she did before being hospitalised last week was #voteYes“ This might be propaganda, it’s not only truth and genuineness on social media platforms, we all should be aware of that. But it might show as well how much Scottish people of all ages are emotionally involved.

8.05pm: Less than 2 hours left to all who want to cast their ballot if not done yet. I repeat after all that confusion: All polling stations are open till 10 pm,

7.58 pm: Now I quote the official site aboutmyvote.co.uk: „All polling stations close at 10pm. If you arrive before 10pm and are still waiting to vote, you will be able to cast your ballot.“

7.47 pm: User Andro Siller Yessss! on the rumour of closed polling stations via Twitter: „Earlier tweets state that the stations must stay open regardless of turnout.“ Who can confirm the rumour with concrete evidence? If there’s no one I declare it a rumour and correct earlier statements by saying: all polling stations are still open for 2 hours and 13 minutes.

7.38 pm: It’s hard to tell what it truth and what is rumour since Social Communities are full of tweets of every kind. Just read I was quoted with the six closed polling stations. I don’t know if it is true, it’s important to understand that I am in Germany and can just report what I read and hear. But damn sure the turnout is huge. I just counted what I read. Only 1 minute ago a new tweet on that topic by Alan Maxwell via Twitter: „Falkirk polling station closed early due to 100% turnout? That’s the same percentage of people reporting it without a source.“

7.24 pm: Had a call from a friend, also telling the polling station is still quite busy. So obviously everything is open in all respects.

7.21 pm: I’ve just asked via Twitter how’s the current mood in polling stations and if there are still long queues. User JeffAtheistPunkNO answered: „There’s been a constant stream of voters going into the polling station across from my house – very busy“

7.17 pm: German Welt just wrote in their own ticker that French president François Hollande warned of the risk of destroying Europe with a Yes in Scotland.

7.11 pm: Everyone in the world seems to be concerned with the Scottish voting. Andrew Glencross via Twitter: „No getting away from #indyref. Pilot on my flight back from Italy indicating voting intentions in the cockpit window!“

7.05 pm: German Tagesschau told that England said No to a currency union with Scotland if it said Yes to independence. So final word is spoken? Never knew that, admittedly.

7.02 pm: German Tagesschau, most important newscast in Germany, opens with a big report on Scottish Indyref with pictures from Edinburgh, quoting Yessers first. But not only, of course. Very unbiased, beautiful report.

7.00 pm: Exactly three hours to go, polling stations are still open in most places obviously. EDIT: everywhere!

6.56 pm: Checked out the Mirror live stream from Edinburgh. Everything is peaceful, but streets are quite empty. Music somewhere though. Must be a major event, and only very few people are on Princess Street obviously. Exceptional circumstances in Scotland.

6.49 pm: After reading (no idea if it’s true!) of at least six polling stations which were said to be closed yet due to a 100 % turnout, I would adjust my personal prognosis upwards. If I had to bet, my bet would be: turnout 85 %. At least. Herald reported that Alistair Darling said today he was „feeling very confident“. My own gut instinct tells me that Yes has a very good chance instead.

6.43 pm: First polling stations are reported to have closed, although it’s more than 3 hours to go still. The reason is unbelievable, there are simply no more voters left, 100 % of registered have voted there. Incredible turnout obviously. Who can confirm?

Preamble: I’m available now for chat on facebook, I’m observing twitter and several live commentaries, concentrating completely on Scotland’s voting until there will be an outcome. I will write in English foremost, comments via Hinterlasse einen Kommentar above are welcome. Please don’t hesitate to contact me if there’s something new where you are. New entries on this ticker will be listed above older ones, you probably have to refresh the site yourself frequently as no self-refreshing system is available on here. All time specifications are UK time, German time is +1 hour.

©Maria Pakura